Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1354.727311 1547.602743 1764.312457 2027.010570 2338.391748 2697.603518 3146.101084
2025-07-20 1069.509300 1321.346647 1632.788452 2051.161973 2605.995674 3327.327122 4354.071000
2025-07-27 917.581851 1191.670601 1552.313327 2071.072675 2814.164861 3865.798379 5514.700812
2025-08-03 809.636383 1093.386044 1485.512800 2081.606949 2991.648748 4375.599077 6736.964982
2025-08-10 744.722164 1040.750069 1467.974655 2150.533191 3255.310436 5052.708146 8380.115552
2025-08-17 690.591037 994.273276 1449.528836 2209.813942 3507.389244 5754.564442 10249.971269
2025-08-24 640.726821 946.785754 1421.207381 2245.433455 3721.378720 6429.362487 12259.460307
2025-08-31 595.316969 900.216647 1387.166903 2263.932979 3904.727854 7081.927213 14419.936636
2025-09-07 561.485597 867.904799 1371.472639 2310.087108 4144.348182 7892.706414 17194.499744
2025-09-14 511.348088 803.547374 1294.222495 2233.268853 4130.749020 8175.484745 18806.820267
2025-09-21 468.332358 747.104036 1224.578112 2160.917948 4112.881746 8443.178110 20473.158474
2025-09-28 428.761865 693.121137 1153.913081 2077.433152 4057.577345 8613.280263 21937.093870
2025-10-05 416.105907 685.662500 1167.589462 2164.699878 4393.319105 9808.240586 26941.479832
2025-10-12 396.600569 664.303463 1153.465774 2193.880177 4605.707798 10758.293281 31678.616406
2025-10-19 378.050692 642.937636 1136.908804 2215.237657 4803.377559 11724.192382 36994.541468
2025-10-26 360.098145 621.096479 1117.122042 2226.682166 4979.014885 12680.070686 42841.973901
2025-11-02 350.310364 613.793595 1125.288944 2301.465387 5331.095403 14265.994660 52306.504233
2025-11-09 340.071343 604.693094 1128.761234 2365.817579 5669.643050 15926.418613 63404.834241
2025-11-16 328.140411 591.259995 1121.840605 2404.498516 5946.148824 17482.014380 75347.472340
2025-11-23 315.464479 575.328240 1108.069641 2424.592212 6174.326945 18955.029945 88256.902896
2025-11-30 306.129747 565.434048 1106.367137 2474.735904 6504.110120 20933.802952 106295.698669
2025-12-07 287.125145 534.291129 1055.209076 2391.287196 6404.506835 21211.804561 113647.577184
2025-12-14 269.920516 505.833282 1007.898900 2312.736479 6307.648605 21480.317917 121357.474932